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2024-12-14 10:21:06

Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.More than 100 underground money houses have been destroyed by public security organs to crack down on the money-changing party. The Ministry of Public Security held a press conference today (13th) to inform the public security organs throughout the country of the effectiveness of measures to crack down on the money-changing party and derivative crimes. According to the press conference, in May 2024, the Ministry of Public Security deployed the national public security organs to carry out special work to crack down on the rectification of the "money exchange party" and derivative crimes, cracked a series of cases, arrested a group of "money exchange party" personnel, and smashed a group of "underground money houses". The whole chain destroyed a group of criminal gangs and achieved remarkable results. Since the action, the Ministry of Public Security has listed and supervised 16 major cases; The National Immigration Bureau instructed the border inspection authorities in Zhuhai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou and other places to actively cooperate with the special work class to carry out verification and disposal and personnel transfer. Since the special action, 142 personnel of the "money exchange party" have been seized and handed over to the special work class according to law. A total of 263 derivative criminal gangs suspected of illegal business operations, organizing illegal border crossing, fraud, illegal detention, etc. were destroyed in various places, and more than 100 underground money houses were destroyed, and more than 80 billion yuan of funds involved were identified. The headquarters in front of the Ministry of Public Security further strengthened the clues, organized relevant provinces to carry out five centralized arrests, arrested 846 suspects and cracked a number of major cases.The exposure of Xiaomi Auto to the sea is accelerated, and overseas sales will be carried out around the local Xiaomi Home store. Many sources say that Xiaomi Auto is preparing to build a car business to the sea. The international department of Xiaomi Group has added a preparation team for the sea sales business, and is recruiting positions such as market research, project management and electric vehicle after-sales engineers. Under the Ministry of Automobile, Xiaomi's autonomous driving department has added a number of jobs for overseas markets to solve the problem of overseas legal verification and function landing of autonomous driving function. It is foreseeable that autonomous driving will be one of the key points of Xiaomi Automobile's betting on the sea. The report quoted people familiar with the matter as saying that after the formation of the team, Xiaomi will sell small quantities of cars overseas in recent years to test the market reaction and prepare for the large-scale development of the sea business. The overseas sales of Xiaomi Automobile will mainly rely on the Xiaomi Home store under the International Department. At present, Xiaomi has more than 100 direct stores overseas. In July this year, Lei Jun replied, "When can I buy Xiaomi cars in France?" The goal is to sell Xiaomi brand cars in Europe before 2030. Judging from the speed of the formation of Xiaomi Auto's sea team, this progress is likely to be accelerated. (36Kr Auto)


The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1% to 185.63.Li Dongsheng said that low-price competition has no way out, and it will only get involved. On December 11th, at TCL Global Innovation Conference, founder Li Dongsheng said that in the current market competition, low-price competition has no way out, and it will only get involved in endless "involution". To surpass its competitors, it is necessary to strive for more breakthroughs in high-end products. He Jun, vice president of TCL Industry, talked about the current development of industrial software enterprises in China in a subsequent interview. He also said that from the aspects of financing environment and market support for enterprises, China is not an environment where good software enterprises can be born at present, but in the long run, industrial software may make a breakthrough in China software, and this time will not be very fast, and it will not be seen for three or five years.The whole family plans to open 1,000 unmanned convenience stores in Japan before the end of the year, and FamilyMart will open about 1,000 unmanned convenience stores in Japan before the end of 2024. Like ordinary stores, unmanned stores can handle about 3000 kinds of goods. It is the first case in Japan to comprehensively promote unmanned stores on a large scale.


It is reported that Canada is considering imposing export taxes on commodities such as uranium and oil to counter Trump's tariff threat. Canada is studying the imposition of export taxes on major commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash, in the case that Trump fulfills the comprehensive tariff threat. Officials familiar with the internal discussions of Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau's government said that the export tax would be Canada's last resort. According to people familiar with the matter, retaliatory tariffs on goods made in the United States and export controls on some Canadian products are more likely to come first. However, these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, the commodity export tax is a practical option, which will push up the costs of American consumers, farmers and enterprises. They said that the Trudeau government may also propose to expand its export control power in the latest report on the country's financial and economic situation scheduled to be released on Monday. It is reported that Canada is currently the largest external oil supplier in the United States. Some refineries rely on cheaper Canadian heavy crude oil, and there are few other options. The impact of rising costs is particularly severe in the Midwest of the United States, where nearly half of the crude oil used by fuel producers to produce gasoline and diesel comes from Canada.Shen Wanhongyuan: "Vigorously boosting consumption" is the first task of economic work next year. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Shen Wanhongyuan released a research opinion saying that in this Central Economic Work Conference, it can be seen that boosting consumption has once again become the top priority in 2025. The "two innovations" and "two heavyweights" in 2024 are important points of economic work. "Two Innovations" means to promote a new round of large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods, and "Two Innovations" means to implement major national strategies and build safety capacity in key areas, and continue to pay attention to the efforts of fiscal policies including extra-long special national debt in this field.Yu Chengdong Tik Tok rose more than 400,000 yuan overnight. On the evening of 12th, Yu Chengdong registered Tik Tok account, and the authentication information was displayed as "Managing Director of Huawei, Chairman of BG& BU, a terminal smart car solution". As of the 13th, the powder rose by over 400,000 overnight. (Oriental Finance)

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